Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017 0.000019
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020 0.000025
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029 0.000042
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000051
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000037 0.000062
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000041 0.000074
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000047 0.000091
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000029 0.000055 0.000116
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000061 0.000140
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000069 0.000171
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000077 0.000204
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036 0.000086 0.000247
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000017 0.000038 0.000095 0.000298
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000107 0.000369
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000121 0.000455
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000127 0.000517
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000044 0.000138 0.000613
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000045 0.000148 0.000713
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000047 0.000164 0.000867
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000052 0.000192 0.001144
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000054 0.000211 0.001388
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000057 0.000236 0.001737